January 27, 2026
2026 Outlook: The Market’s Reprise
As markets move deeper into a new cycle defined by capital intensity, dispersion, and structural change, investors face a familiar challenge: understanding how to separate signal from noise as conditions evolve. GEM’s 2026 Outlook examines the forces reshaping today’s investment landscape and explores how those themes are actively influencing our team’s allocation tactics and positioning for the year ahead.
The firm announced the final close of its second Independent Sponsors Fund at its hard cap. New capital for the strategy totals $685 million, extending a program that has invested alongside independent sponsors for more than a decade.
We believe the lower middle market remains one of private equity’s most durable and least crowded sources of outperformance. In our latest research report, we examine the data behind our thesis and explain why we think disciplined manager selection creates a distinct edge.
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